The Fluence Brief - Nov. 10th, 2025

A deeper more insightful look at business, industry and politics.

Since 1990 I’ve watched Governor’s races with great curiosity. From Jesse, to Pawlenty, Dayton and now Walz – the reality is that Minnesota looks and votes differently for Governors. Outside money is likely to be a major issue, with Republicans trying to build a compelling case for donors and independent expenditures – they have to make a case that is as risky as Bitcoin in the early days. If they can do that, they have a chance.

The numbers and recent history are not in Republicans favor, and until they win statewide it’s hard to make the case. The Trump factor will matter in one year, but more so will be the candidate for Governor.

Our latest premium article focuses on “The MN Republican Reality of 2026”

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Blois - bloisolson@gmail.com

The MN Republican Reality of 2026

At the 2009 State Fair, Republicans hosted a forum with candidates for governor in 2010, it was Labor Day. The field included then Sen. David Hann, then State Reps. Tom Emmer, Mike Jungbauer, Paul Kohls and Marty Seifert, along with Pat Anderson and Phil Herwig. It was hot, 80 degrees according to weather records and as the leader of House Republicans Siefert was the perceived front runner for Governor.

On that Labor Day, with an early look at campaigns, Almanac’s Eric Eskola and I traded thoughts about the field. Siefert was in a white pressed dress shirt and a red tie – he was sweating through the shirt; Emmer was wearing a polo. One looked natural, the other didn’t – my immediate impression was that Emmer had more potential to break through the field. Fast forward to June and the Republican convention – Emmer won the endorsement and faced Gov. Mark Dayton in the general. That was the last time Republicans were close to winning the Governor’s race.

Flash forward to 2025, Speaker Lisa Demuth joins Rep. Kristin Robbins in the race for Governor that creates caucus dynamics like the Seifert-Emmer race, and each can make a case for being the best choice for the party. Not to be outdone, it’s the same case businessman Kendall Qualls, and Dr. Scott Jensen are making.